{"id":118365,"date":"2024-02-13T19:32:23","date_gmt":"2024-02-14T01:32:23","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/lospoliticosveracruz.com.mx\/?p=118365"},"modified":"2024-02-13T19:32:30","modified_gmt":"2024-02-14T01:32:30","slug":"las-encuestas-no-son-problema-sino-la-eleccion","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/lospoliticosveracruz.com\/?p=118365","title":{"rendered":"LAS ENCUESTAS NO SON PROBLEMA, SINO LA ELECCI\u00d3N"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p><strong>Jos\u00e9 Luis Enr\u00edquez Ambell<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>Caf\u00e9 de Ma\u00f1ana<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Los pollsters (encuestadores), responsables de la medici\u00f3n de la opini\u00f3n p\u00fablica mediante los estudios llevan a una fotograf\u00eda del momento, y retratan la real percepci\u00f3n de los informantes, \u00fanica y exclusivamente durante el periodo del levantamiento de las muestras, pero hasta ah\u00ed.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/youtu.be\/Nxe-vxf8GuY\"><\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-video is-provider-youtube wp-block-embed-youtube wp-embed-aspect-16-9 wp-has-aspect-ratio\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<iframe loading=\"lazy\" title=\"Cluster Coworking\" width=\"696\" height=\"392\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/Nxe-vxf8GuY?feature=oembed\" frameborder=\"0\" allow=\"accelerometer; autoplay; clipboard-write; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture; web-share\" referrerpolicy=\"strict-origin-when-cross-origin\" allowfullscreen><\/iframe>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Ahora bien, no es f\u00e1cil entre la sociedad abierta distinguir las diferencias entre una encuesta y&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>los productos que llevan a la recolecci\u00f3n de la opini\u00f3n p\u00fablica y ciudadana, pues puede ser con fines propagand\u00edsticos, pero&nbsp;&nbsp;tambi\u00e9n desinformativos por&nbsp;&nbsp;toda una serie de canales a trav\u00e9s de los cuales se puede distorsionar la informaci\u00f3n, y los expertos en Ciencia Pol\u00edtica, as\u00ed como, en elecciones y, sobre todo,&nbsp;&nbsp;en campa\u00f1as, lo reconocen.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Y es que, todas las encuestas electorales son una herramienta de investigaci\u00f3n social que s\u00f3lo contribuye al desarrollo pol\u00edtico y democr\u00e1tico, y su realizaci\u00f3n y difusi\u00f3n resultan un recurso que no siempre es confiable, pero&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>que permiten a la ciudadan\u00eda disponer de ciertas fuentes de informaci\u00f3n confiable que lleve a tomar mejores decisiones.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>As\u00ed pues, las encuestas s\u00f3lo son indicativas, pero lo que cuenta es lo decisivo para poder ganar elecciones.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>As\u00ed es como todas las encuestas pre electorales actualmente van en direcci\u00f3n a una escala de la difusi\u00f3n que envuelve dudas y lleva a controversias, pues hace suponer que est\u00e1n manipulando la informaci\u00f3n para favorecer a alg\u00fan candidato o candidata, y es ah\u00ed donde radica la pelea de los partidos &#8211; Morena con sus aliados y el Frente Amplio por M\u00e9xico &#8211; y hay a quienes les cuesta trabajo aceptar que la elecci\u00f3n es entre dos bandos, pero que tambi\u00e9n va cerr\u00e1ndose y tiende a cerrase m\u00e1s.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Es inevitable reconocer que los<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>nuevos espacios de discusi\u00f3n rondan entre el an\u00e1lisis pol\u00edtico y social, el control y la divulgaci\u00f3n de la informaci\u00f3n electoral que van m\u00e1s all\u00e1 de metodolog\u00edas usadas en la medici\u00f3n del comportamiento pre electoral, y est\u00e1n entrando a la etapa donde&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;delimitan responsabilidades de todos y cada uno de los actores envueltos en el proceso electoral, y las encuestas ir\u00e1n desnudando falsas mediciones &#8211; sobre todo en la difusi\u00f3n &#8211; seg\u00fan avancen las campa\u00f1as en la cercan\u00eda de la jornada.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Las diferencias en puntos son cada vez menores entre Roc\u00edo Nahle y Pepe Yunes como es tambi\u00e9n en el caso de Claudia Sheinbaum y X\u00f3chitl G\u00e1lvez, en Veracruz y M\u00e9xico, de ah\u00ed que el m\u00fasculo social ir\u00e1 creciendo de un lado a otro y en donde el mal humor social estara jugando un papel definitivo en las urnas.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>DE SOBREMESA<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u00abLas encuestas fluyen e influyen, pero no definen elecciones\u00bb. Y los candidatos como candidatas y sus coordinadores de campa\u00f1a&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>deben saber que las encuestas&nbsp;&nbsp;serias arrojan resultados serios, pero sobre todo resultados mixtos y poco concluyentes, o dicho de otra forma, lo que cuenta es la operaci\u00f3n pol\u00edtica y que se manifieste en las urnas.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>UN CAF\u00c9 CON DOBLE CARGA&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Los candidatos a otros puestos son la base de acumulaci\u00f3n de votos, y tambi\u00e9n cuenta.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>UN LECHERO LIGHT DESLACTOSADO<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Que este d\u00eda de San Valent\u00edn, del amor y la amistad, sea pleno en la armon\u00eda y salud de todas las personas en lo individual y colectivo, Dios les bendiga.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u00a1 ES CUANTO !<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>&nbsp;Jos\u00e9 Luis Enr\u00edquez Ambell<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>enamjl62@gmail.com; enriquezambell@gmail.com<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Secretario General de la Federaci\u00f3n Aut\u00e9ntica de Trabajadores del Estado de Veracruz (FATEV \u2013 JLEG) Registro Federal del Trabajo # 5844 y Director General de la Consultor\u00eda y Asesor\u00eda Integral AECAI Torre \u00c1nimas en Xalapa, Ver.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Jos\u00e9 Luis Enr\u00edquez Ambell Caf\u00e9 de Ma\u00f1ana Los pollsters (encuestadores), responsables de la medici\u00f3n de la opini\u00f3n p\u00fablica mediante los estudios llevan a una fotograf\u00eda del momento, y retratan la real percepci\u00f3n de los informantes, \u00fanica y exclusivamente durante el periodo del levantamiento de las muestras, pero hasta ah\u00ed. Ahora bien, no es f\u00e1cil entre [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"tdm_status":"","tdm_grid_status":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[70],"tags":[16996],"class_list":{"0":"post-118365","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","6":"category-de-opinion","7":"tag-encuestadores"},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.4 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>LAS ENCUESTAS NO SON PROBLEMA, SINO LA ELECCI\u00d3N - Los pol\u00edticos Veracruz<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/lospoliticosveracruz.com\/?p=118365\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"es_ES\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"LAS ENCUESTAS NO SON PROBLEMA, SINO LA ELECCI\u00d3N - Los pol\u00edticos Veracruz\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Jos\u00e9 Luis Enr\u00edquez Ambell Caf\u00e9 de Ma\u00f1ana Los pollsters (encuestadores), responsables de la medici\u00f3n de la opini\u00f3n p\u00fablica mediante los estudios llevan a una fotograf\u00eda del momento, y retratan la real percepci\u00f3n de los informantes, \u00fanica y exclusivamente durante el periodo del levantamiento de las muestras, pero hasta ah\u00ed. 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