{"id":126372,"date":"2024-06-21T07:08:52","date_gmt":"2024-06-21T12:08:52","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/lospoliticosveracruz.com.mx\/?p=126372"},"modified":"2024-06-21T07:11:17","modified_gmt":"2024-06-21T12:11:17","slug":"es-la-sobrerrepresentacion","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/lospoliticosveracruz.com\/?p=126372","title":{"rendered":"\u00a1ES LA SOBRERREPRESENTACI\u00d3N!"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

Felipe de Jes\u00fas Fern\u00e1ndez Basilio<\/strong>
Desde a Janela<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u201cYa solo restan <\/em>tres <\/em>meses<\/em> y <\/em>nueve<\/em> d\u00edas<\/em> para que se vaya a … su rancho\u201d<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u00daltimamente se ha hablado en demas\u00eda sobre las hipot\u00e9ticas reformas a la constituci\u00f3n que el gobierno saliente junto con su ap\u00e9ndice, la ganadora de las elecciones, podr\u00edan llevar a cabo en septiembre.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Se comenta mucho sobre la reforma al poder judicial, si conviene o si, por el contrario, no resuelve el problema fundamental en el sistema de impartici\u00f3n de justicia o si es una vil venganza del porro que est\u00e1 por salir del palacio.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Todo ello resulta sumamente interesante y a la vez es una discusi\u00f3n totalmente est\u00e9ril, ya que, si logra las mayor\u00edas calificadas el oficialismo va a hacer su santa voluntad y no va a atender recomendaci\u00f3n alguna, ya que est\u00e1 demostrad\u00edsimo que, si L\u00f3pez es cerrado e intolerante Sheinbaum lo es a\u00fan m\u00e1s.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Por ello es que los parlamentos abiertos y foros que han convocado sobre ese tema resultan ser una farsa y, peor a\u00fan, un distractor sobre lo que la opini\u00f3n p\u00fablica debiera de estar vigilando.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Y es que ninguna de esas reformas se va a llevar a cabo si los partidos que conforman la bancada oficialista en ambas c\u00e1maras del Congreso de la Uni\u00f3n re\u00fanen las dos terceras partes de cada una.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Como es de todos conocido, el proceso electoral 2024 a\u00fan no culmina, ya que todav\u00eda falta que se desahoguen las diversas impugnaciones a las elecciones de diputados y senadores, que es lo que nos ocupa, y que la asignaci\u00f3n de los que sean de lista o representaci\u00f3n proporcional queden definitivamente asignados por las autoridades electorales competentes.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Luego entonces, la mirada debe de estar puesta en la forma en la que el INE y, principalmente, el TEPJ diriman las controversias las controversias y determinen la asignaci\u00f3n de legisladores a cada partido.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Resultando este tema bastante interesante, ya que de la manera en que los magistrados electorales interpreten las normas jur\u00eddicas es que se tendr\u00e1 la composici\u00f3n de la pr\u00f3xima legislatura y con ello se ver\u00e1 si se llevan a cabo las reformas constitucionales o si el pr\u00f3ximo gobierno no podr\u00e1 tocar la constituci\u00f3n.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

En esta cuesti\u00f3n chocan dos maneras de interpretar los preceptos legales, ya que por un lado, tenemos a quienes siguen al pie de la letra la literalidad de la ley y la supremac\u00eda constitucional y por el otro, a quienes se gu\u00edan por la ley secundaria y se sumergen en barroquismos y malabares para tratar de decir lo que la ley no dice.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Y es que resulta que el art\u00edculo 54 de la constituci\u00f3n en su fracci\u00f3n V establece que ning\u00fan partido pol\u00edtico puede tener una sobrerrepresentaci\u00f3n superior al ocho por ciento de la votaci\u00f3n obtenida por \u00e9l durante la jornada electoral.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Esto es que, si el oficialismo obtuvo aproximadamente el 55 por ciento de votaci\u00f3n para la c\u00e1mara de diputados, no debe de tener m\u00e1s all\u00e1 del 63 por ciento de los diputados que se asignan bajo el principio de representaci\u00f3n proporcional, con lo cual no le alcanzar\u00eda para obtener la mayor\u00eda calificada en la c\u00e1mara.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Lo anterior se basa tambi\u00e9n en la l\u00f3gica elemental, toda vez que, si no votaron dos terceras partes de los electores por entregar la facultad de modificar la constituci\u00f3n, esta no se puede entregar en la mesa y el oficialismo fue mandatado para gobernar y legislar mas no para cambiar la constituci\u00f3n.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

En cambio, la otra visi\u00f3n consiste en que la constituci\u00f3n solo se refiere a los partidos pol\u00edticos en lo individual y no dispone nada acerca de las coaliciones y, como bien sabemos, en este proceso electoral se formaron mayoritariamente coaliciones que representan a cada opci\u00f3n electoral; por lo que al no estar expl\u00edcitamente escrito en la constituci\u00f3n, y s\u00ed legislado, el tribunal electoral deber\u00e1 de interpretar si las coaliciones son tratadas como partido o si cada partido es tratado individualmente, y en ese caso, s\u00ed puede el oficialismo alcanzar la mayor\u00eda calificada en la c\u00e1mara baja.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Como bien se puede ver, es una cuesti\u00f3n compleja la que tienen que resolver los magistrados electorales e incluso les va la existencia en ello; ya que, si otorgan la mayor\u00eda calificada en diputados, el propio tribunal quedar\u00eda a un pu\u00f1ado de senadores de desaparecer.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Por lo tanto, el foco de atenci\u00f3n no debe de ser las reformas constitucionales, sino la conformaci\u00f3n de las c\u00e1maras, ya que de ello depender\u00e1 si se cumple el mandato popular de que MRN y r\u00e9moras sigan gobernando o si se les da un mandato que el pueblo no les dio para cambiar a discreci\u00f3n la constituci\u00f3n.<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

felfebas@gmail.com<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Twitter: @FelipeFBasilio<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Felipe de Jes\u00fas Fern\u00e1ndez BasilioDesde a Janela \u201cYa solo restan tres meses y nueve d\u00edas para que se vaya a … su rancho\u201d \u00daltimamente se ha hablado en demas\u00eda sobre las hipot\u00e9ticas reformas a la constituci\u00f3n que el gobierno saliente junto con su ap\u00e9ndice, la ganadora de las elecciones, podr\u00edan llevar a cabo en septiembre. Se comenta mucho sobre la reforma […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":119963,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"tdm_status":"","tdm_grid_status":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[70],"tags":[618,9627,84,1026,859],"class_list":{"0":"post-126372","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-de-opinion","8":"tag-andres-manuel-lopez-obrador","9":"tag-claudia-sheinbaum","10":"tag-diputados","11":"tag-morena","12":"tag-senadores"},"yoast_head":"\n\u00a1ES LA SOBRERREPRESENTACI\u00d3N! - Los pol\u00edticos Veracruz<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/lospoliticosveracruz.com\/?p=126372\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"es_ES\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"\u00a1ES LA SOBRERREPRESENTACI\u00d3N! - Los pol\u00edticos Veracruz\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Felipe de Jes\u00fas Fern\u00e1ndez BasilioDesde a Janela \u201cYa solo restan tres meses y nueve d\u00edas para que se vaya a … su rancho\u201d \u00daltimamente se ha hablado en demas\u00eda sobre las hipot\u00e9ticas reformas a la constituci\u00f3n que el gobierno saliente junto con su ap\u00e9ndice, la ganadora de las elecciones, podr\u00edan llevar a cabo en septiembre. 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