{"id":146063,"date":"2025-05-29T21:30:44","date_gmt":"2025-05-30T02:30:44","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/lospoliticosveracruz.com.mx\/?p=146063"},"modified":"2025-05-29T21:31:09","modified_gmt":"2025-05-30T02:31:09","slug":"aranceles-e-incertidumbre","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/lospoliticosveracruz.com\/?p=146063","title":{"rendered":"ARANCELES E INCERTIDUMBRE\u00a0"},"content":{"rendered":"\n


Carlos Miguel Acosta Bravo*<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u00a0Impronta<\/em>\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n

La resoluci\u00f3n del Tribunal Internacional de Comercio de los Estados Unidos, en d\u00f3nde declar\u00f3 ilegales los aranceles impuestos a todo el mundo en el mal llamado por Trump \u201cD\u00eda de la Liberaci\u00f3n\u201d en donde se incluyeron grav\u00e1menes a M\u00e9xico, Canad\u00e1 y China, as\u00ed como al resto del mundo, incluida la Uni\u00f3n Europea que era considerada importante aliada de los Estados Unidos, por considerar que el presidente Donald Trump se excedi\u00f3 en sus competencias.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

La resoluci\u00f3n tiene su sustento en el argumento de que Trump hab\u00eda invadido las competencias del Congreso y se hab\u00eda excedido en su autoridad, hab\u00eda dejado la pol\u00edtica comercial a la libre influencia de sus caprichos y cambios de humor y todo esto como bien sabemos ha desatado un caos econ\u00f3mico a nivel mundial.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u00c9sta decisi\u00f3n permite que en la pr\u00e1ctica se ponga en suspenso nuevamente la aplicaci\u00f3n de los aranceles ,y otorga un plazo m\u00e1ximo de diez d\u00edas, y le pone un nuevo aire de duda e incertidumbre a la guerra comercial en el orden mundial. La resoluci\u00f3n ha sido bien recibida por los mercados, pues la medida del presidente Trump amenazaba con meter a los Estados Unidos en una recesi\u00f3n de alcances insospechados as\u00ed como provocar un aumento en los precios para los consumidores estadounidenses.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

La administraci\u00f3n del presidente Trump reaccion\u00f3 de inmediato y comunic\u00f3 que recurrir\u00e1 la sentencia dictada por un tribunal de solo tres jueces y en su caso la controversia puede llegar al tribunal supremo que es integrado por seis jueces conservadores y as\u00ed desafiar la resoluci\u00f3n de las tres juezas progresistas.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Para darle mayor dramatismo al tema lanzado \u201cel d\u00eda de la liberaci\u00f3n\u201d se encuentran temas como el inicio de las negociaciones entre M\u00e9xico, Canad\u00e1 y Estados Unidos  para el segundo semestre de 2025 para  la renegociaci\u00f3n anticipada del TMEC y encima hay temas tan complicados para los productores mexicanos de ganado a quienes se les ha prohibido la exportaci\u00f3n de ganado a los Estados Unidos, con el surgimiento de la plaga del gusano barrenador, el da\u00f1o viene aqu\u00ed por el impedimento que provoca p\u00e9rdidas del orden de 11 millones de d\u00f3lares diarios.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Dentro de este galimat\u00edas y la complejidad que le acompa\u00f1a, crece porque las excepciones son sectoriales incluyendo latas de cerveza de aluminio con un arancel actual del 25% , pero que ha sido pospuesto junto con otros aranceles para el 9 de julio. Se encuentra tambi\u00e9n en el aire el arancel del 25% a Apple fabricante del famoso y popular Iphone si este no se fabrica en los EU.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Dentro de estos vaivenes, ajustes, presiones y galimat\u00edas se encuentra  la tregua parcial de 90 d\u00edas ante la presi\u00f3n de los mercados,  se encuentra el posponer hasta el 9 de julio los aranceles impuestos a China que llegaron a un m\u00e1ximo de 145 por ciento pero que luego se redujeron al 30% , mismos que al d\u00eda de hoy se encuentran vigentes.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Analistas econ\u00f3micos como Enrique Quintana, precisa que nos encontramos en un verdadero laberinto en torno a los aranceles que EU ya aplica y tambi\u00e9n los que amenaza con imponer en un futuro cercano.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

En suma las negociaciones comerciales con otros pa\u00edses que est\u00e9n en marcha, tambi\u00e9n quedan en el aire, pues queda claro que Trump los ha usado como herramientas de presi\u00f3n por no controlar migraci\u00f3n, el tr\u00e1fico de indocumentados as\u00ed como la introducci\u00f3n ilegal de fentanilo.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

La resoluci\u00f3n declara ilegales los aranceles de Trump, al considerar que el presidente se excedi\u00f3 en sus competencias en suma hace referencia al uso excedido de una autoridad \u201cilimitada\u201d y no se cumple con la exigencia legal a que dichos impuestos sirvan para hacer frente a una amenza inusual y extraordinaria y a que Trump habr\u00eda invadido las competencias del Congreso y hab\u00eda dejado la pol\u00edtica comercial y hab\u00eda desatado un caos econ\u00f3mico.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Esta decisi\u00f3n en mi opini\u00f3n significa el mejor reflejo de la importancia de un poder judicial independiente que permita un contrapeso al titular del poder ejecutivo, y as\u00ed analizar con libertad, con pleno apego al orden jur\u00eddico la legalidad de las decisiones que en su caso tom\u00f3 el Presidente de los Estados Unidos en el inicio de su segundo mandato.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Por \u00faltimo queda en el aire, por un lado la resoluci\u00f3n del tribunal supremo y el tiempo que todas dudas continuar\u00e1n generando incertidumbre para el intercambio comercial de los tres pa\u00edses dentro del TMEC y cu\u00e1les pudieran ser las afectaciones econ\u00f3micas para la econom\u00eda global y en su caso para M\u00e9xico cuya econom\u00eda esta vinculada de manera estrecha y diaria al intercambio comercial diario.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

cacostabravo@yahoo.com.mx<\/p>\n\n\n\n

*Maestro en comunicaci\u00f3n egresado de la UIA, ha formado parte del cuerpo de profesores de la misma universidad en la escuela de comunicaci\u00f3n, as\u00ed como de la la Universida An\u00e1huac, camp\u00fas CDMX.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Carlos Miguel Acosta Bravo* \u00a0Impronta\u00a0 La resoluci\u00f3n del Tribunal Internacional de Comercio de los Estados Unidos, en d\u00f3nde declar\u00f3 ilegales los aranceles impuestos a todo el mundo en el mal llamado por Trump \u201cD\u00eda de la Liberaci\u00f3n\u201d en donde se incluyeron grav\u00e1menes a M\u00e9xico, Canad\u00e1 y China, as\u00ed como al resto del mundo, incluida la […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":141377,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"tdm_status":"","tdm_grid_status":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[70],"tags":[],"class_list":{"0":"post-146063","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-de-opinion"},"yoast_head":"\nARANCELES E INCERTIDUMBRE\u00a0 - Los pol\u00edticos Veracruz<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/lospoliticosveracruz.com\/?p=146063\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"es_ES\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"ARANCELES E INCERTIDUMBRE\u00a0 - 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