{"id":148129,"date":"2025-07-02T00:18:17","date_gmt":"2025-07-02T05:18:17","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/lospoliticosveracruz.com.mx\/?p=148129"},"modified":"2025-07-02T00:18:52","modified_gmt":"2025-07-02T05:18:52","slug":"eleccion-intermedia-del-2027","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/lospoliticosveracruz.com\/?p=148129","title":{"rendered":"ELECCI\u00d3N INTERMEDIA DEL 2027"},"content":{"rendered":"\n\n\n

Jos\u00e9 Luis Ortega Vidal<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Claroscuros<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

(1)
Todos los partidos pol\u00edticos con presencia en el estado de Veracruz tienen frente a s\u00ed el requerimiento de fortalecerse, reorganizarse y en algunos casos reinventarse, de cara a la trascendental elecci\u00f3n intermedia del 2027, cuya batalla por las legislaturas federal y local est\u00e1 a la vuelta.
En el sur, MORENA qued\u00f3 fortalecido en Coatzacoalcos, municipio con dos distritos electorales locales; uno urbano que se alimenta con su propia base demogr\u00e1fica y el rural, que abarca parte de la ciudad porte\u00f1a, sus comunidades y municipios aleda\u00f1os; adem\u00e1s de un distrito federal.
Minatitl\u00e1n tambi\u00e9n luce de color guinda fuerte y desde ah\u00ed se encabezan un distrito local y uno federal.
Acayucan s\u00f3lo es cabecera de un distrito local y pertenece al distrito electoral federal con cabecera en Cosamaloapan.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

(2)
El sur profundo veracruzano no se pint\u00f3 totalmente de guinda y la oposici\u00f3n logr\u00f3 victorias relevantes si contamos municipio por municipio.
La plaza opositora m\u00e1s destacada es Cosoleacaque, municipio con el tercer lugar en el rubro de habitantes, donde el PRI reivindic\u00f3 su poder.
Cosoleacaque es cabecera de un distrito local y uno federal.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

(3)
MORENA cuenta con la mayor\u00eda de diputaciones federales veracruzanas y casi la totalidad de diputaciones locales uninominales.
La meta de la 4T ser\u00e1 mantener ese poder\u00edo y de ser posible incrementarlo en la cantidad de sufragios para su causa.
La oposici\u00f3n, por su parte, cuenta con una obligaci\u00f3n para s\u00ed misma: evitar un triunfo cercano al cien por ciento por parte de MORENA \u2013en lo referente a la obtenci\u00f3n de curules- y alejarse de un resultado parecido al de los comicios del 2024; porque de ocurrir tan escenario estar\u00edan alimentando su atroz fracaso de cara a la elecci\u00f3n del 2030.
Un resultado semejante al del 2024, con la misma cantidad de diputaciones y una votaci\u00f3n semejante a la que obtuvo el a\u00f1o pasado, ser\u00eda un gran triunfo para MORENA y se convertir\u00eda en un logro hist\u00f3rico porque no habr\u00e1 elecci\u00f3n de gobernador ni de presidente y tampoco de alcaldes.
Por otra parte, una disminuci\u00f3n en el n\u00famero de diputaciones \u2013federales o locales- para la causa guinda, y una ca\u00edda en los sufragios a su favor, representar\u00eda un grave descalabro y una nueva se\u00f1al de alerta para la 4T, como la surgida en los comicios locales de junio pasado.
A la oposici\u00f3n, aumentar la cantidad de diputaciones locales y federales durante los comicios del 2027, la retirar\u00eda del rid\u00edculo que protagoniz\u00f3 el a\u00f1o pasado.
Por todo lo anterior, los triunfos municipales en Poza Rica y Tihuatl\u00e1n resultan estrat\u00e9gicos para Movimiento Ciudadano, como el triunfo hist\u00f3rico en la ciudad y puerto de Veracruz es clave en los objetivos morenistas.
Cosoleacaque es un doble distrito, con riesgos para MORENA; lo son tambi\u00e9n: Huatusco, Orizaba, Papantla, entre otras cabeceras, distritos y regiones.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

(4)
\u00bfCu\u00e1les ser\u00e1n las estrategias de cada partido pol\u00edtico desde hoy hasta el 2027?
Le corresponde a cada uno responder a esa pregunta.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

(5)
En el caso de MORENA, durante su Congreso el pasado fin de semana Esteban Bautista Hern\u00e1ndez y Juan Javier G\u00f3mez Cazar\u00edn pusieron un ejemplo del camino que conviene a su partido: el di\u00e1logo.
Las diferencias pol\u00edticas fuertes entre el presidente de la JUCOPO y el delegado de BIENESTAR -que se llegaron a ventilar p\u00fablicamente-, sacudieron hilos esenciales en el morenismo estatal, pero el acercamiento y la muestra de inteligencia de ambas parte teje, hila, fortalece la causa com\u00fan que los une y abre camino para otros tejidos necesarios.
Veremos si otros personajes y grupos de MORENA aprenden y aplican la lecci\u00f3n que construyeron el l\u00edder de la LXVII Legislatura local, Bautista Hern\u00e1ndez, y el funcionario de alto nivel, G\u00f3mez Cazar\u00edn.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Jos\u00e9 Luis Ortega Vidal Claroscuros (1)Todos los partidos pol\u00edticos con presencia en el estado de Veracruz tienen frente a s\u00ed el requerimiento de fortalecerse, reorganizarse y en algunos casos reinventarse, de cara a la trascendental elecci\u00f3n intermedia del 2027, cuya batalla por las legislaturas federal y local est\u00e1 a la vuelta.En el sur, MORENA qued\u00f3 […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":141392,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"tdm_status":"","tdm_grid_status":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[70],"tags":[371,375,18437,12695,1026,1267,4153,195],"class_list":{"0":"post-148129","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-de-opinion","8":"tag-coatzacoalcos","9":"tag-cosoleacaque","10":"tag-esteban-bautista-hernandez","11":"tag-juan-javier-gomez-cazarin","12":"tag-morena","13":"tag-poza-rica","14":"tag-tihuatlan","15":"tag-veracruz"},"yoast_head":"\nELECCI\u00d3N INTERMEDIA DEL 2027 - 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