{"id":157654,"date":"2025-12-01T20:40:20","date_gmt":"2025-12-02T02:40:20","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/lospoliticosveracruz.com.mx\/?p=157654"},"modified":"2025-12-01T20:40:50","modified_gmt":"2025-12-02T02:40:50","slug":"crecimiento-de-la-deuda-de-mexico","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/lospoliticosveracruz.com\/?p=157654","title":{"rendered":"CRECIMIENTO DE LA DEUDA DE M\u00c9XICO"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

S\u00edguenos ahora tambi\u00e9n en WhatsApp.\u00a0\u00a1Da clic aqu\u00ed<\/strong><\/a>!<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Carlos Miguel Acosta Bravo*
<\/strong>Impronta<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Se ha preguntado usted porqu\u00e9 aunque la deuda de M\u00e9xico como pa\u00eds ha crecido de manera importante, nuestro peso ha resistido y no se ha devaluado? La respuesta esta en que el crecimiento de la deuda en M\u00e9xico hasta casi el doble desde 2018, en un 84% proviene de deuda interna, significa que el pa\u00eds depende cada vez m\u00e1s de financiamiento interno para cubrir d\u00e9ficits crecientes. Esto genera una mayor presi\u00f3n sobre la econom\u00eda interna y limita el margen fiscal, ya que al aumentar el gasto en el servicio de deuda se reducen recursos para inversi\u00f3n p\u00fablica esencial en salud, educaci\u00f3n e infraestructura.\u200b<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n


El predominio de deuda interna puede limitar el riesgo de fuga de capitales, pero tambi\u00e9n implica que el gobierno debe manejar cuidadosamente la carga financiera para no afectar la estabilidad econ\u00f3mica ni elevar excesivamente las tasas de inter\u00e9s internas, afectando a todos los sectores productivos.\u200b
En cuanto a la deuda creciente de PEMEX y CFE, su posible absorci\u00f3n por el Gobierno Federal representa una amenaza seria para las finanzas p\u00fablicas. Al incorporar estas deudas, el costo financiero del Estado aumentar\u00eda considerablemente, elevando el riesgo pa\u00eds y presionando la calificaci\u00f3n crediticia soberana, lo que encarecer\u00eda la contrataci\u00f3n de nueva deuda y pondr\u00eda en riesgo el espacio fiscal para cumplir otras promesas gubernamentales.\u200b
Adem\u00e1s, la consolidaci\u00f3n de las deudas de estas empresas p\u00fablicas podr\u00eda generar un c\u00edrculo vicioso de mayores costos financieros y mayores necesidades de financiamiento estatal, afectando la estabilidad macroecon\u00f3mica y la confianza de inversionistas en M\u00e9xico.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Por otro lado, si el Gobierno Federal absorbe la deuda de PEMEX y CFE, las consecuencias para la inversi\u00f3n p\u00fablica y los servicios sociales ser\u00edan negativas en varios sentidos. Primero, el aumento en la deuda consolidada elevar\u00eda el pago de intereses del gobierno, consumiendo una parte mayor del presupuesto disponible y reduciendo los recursos para inversi\u00f3n en sectores clave como infraestructura, salud, educaci\u00f3n y programas sociales.\u200b
Esto implica un menor margen fiscal para financiar proyectos de desarrollo y mejora en servicios p\u00fablicos, lo que puede traducirse en recortes o postergaciones de obras y programas gubernamentales necesarios para el crecimiento econ\u00f3mico y bienestar social.\u200b
Adem\u00e1s, la absorci\u00f3n aumentar\u00eda la percepci\u00f3n de riesgo fiscal entre inversionistas y calificadoras, lo que podr\u00eda incrementar las tasas de inter\u00e9s a las que M\u00e9xico puede acceder a financiamiento externo, encareciendo la deuda futura y limitando a\u00fan m\u00e1s la capacidad de gasto p\u00fablico.\u200b
En conjunto, esta situaci\u00f3n puede afectar la calidad, cobertura y eficiencia de los servicios p\u00fablicos, deteriorar la infraestructura y limitar programas sociales, impactando negativamente el desarrollo socioecon\u00f3mico del pa\u00eds.
Comente u opine a:
cacostabravo@yahoo.com.mx<\/p>\n\n\n\n

*Maestro en comunicaci\u00f3n por la Universidad Iberoamericana, de la cual form\u00f3 parte del cuerpo acad\u00e9mico de la Licenciatura en comunicaci\u00f3n, as\u00ed como de la Universidad An\u00e1huac, camp\u00fas norte de CDMX.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Carlos Miguel Acosta Bravo*Impronta Se ha preguntado usted porqu\u00e9 aunque la deuda de M\u00e9xico como pa\u00eds ha crecido de manera importante, nuestro peso ha resistido y no se ha devaluado? La respuesta esta en que el crecimiento de la deuda en M\u00e9xico hasta casi el doble desde 2018, en un 84% proviene de deuda interna, […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":141377,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"tdm_status":"","tdm_grid_status":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[70],"tags":[43303,47705,47709,47706,47708],"class_list":{"0":"post-157654","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-de-opinion","8":"tag-carlos-miguel-acosta-bravo-2","9":"tag-deuda-mexico-crecimiento-analisis","10":"tag-estabilidad-macroeconomica-mexico","11":"tag-pemex-cfe-impacto-fiscal","12":"tag-riesgo-pais-finanzas-publicas"},"yoast_head":"\nCRECIMIENTO DE LA DEUDA DE M\u00c9XICO - Los pol\u00edticos Veracruz<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/lospoliticosveracruz.com\/?p=157654\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"es_ES\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"CRECIMIENTO DE LA DEUDA DE M\u00c9XICO - Los pol\u00edticos Veracruz\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Carlos Miguel Acosta Bravo*Impronta Se ha preguntado usted porqu\u00e9 aunque la deuda de M\u00e9xico como pa\u00eds ha crecido de manera importante, nuestro peso ha resistido y no se ha devaluado? 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