{"id":159620,"date":"2026-01-06T06:43:03","date_gmt":"2026-01-06T12:43:03","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/lospoliticosveracruz.com\/?p=159620"},"modified":"2026-01-10T12:18:03","modified_gmt":"2026-01-10T18:18:03","slug":"venezuela-el-petroleo-la-geopolitica-y-mexico","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/lospoliticosveracruz.com\/?p=159620","title":{"rendered":"VENEZUELA, EL PETR\u00d3LEO, LA GEOPOL\u00cdTICA Y M\u00c9XICO"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p><strong>Jorge Viveros Pasquel<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>La invasi\u00f3n de los Estados Unidos a Venezuela bajo la forma de una operaci\u00f3n militar para capturar al Dictador Nicol\u00e1s Maduro, debe analizarse no solo desde una narrativa moral de la democracia, si<br>no tambi\u00e9n desde la l\u00f3gica dura de la geopol\u00edtica. La historia reciente demuestra que Washington muy rara vez (o mas bien nunca ) act\u00faa movido por la defensa de valores democr\u00e1ticos, y si, cuando existe un inter\u00e9s estrat\u00e9gico mayor en juego. El bombardeo de lanchas, en donde se demostr\u00f3 que tambi\u00e9n iban pescadores inocentes, s\u00f3lo sirvi\u00f3 a la narrativa para \u00e9l control hemisf\u00e9rico del petr\u00f3leo.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Venezuela posee las mayores reservas probadas de petr\u00f3leo del mundo, con m\u00e1s de 300 mil millones de barriles, de acuerdo con datos de la OPEP. Este recurso, se ha convertido en un activo geopol\u00edtico clave en el contexto de la rivalidad entre Estados Unidos, China y Rusia. Beijing ha financiado al r\u00e9gimen venezolano con decenas de miles de millones de d\u00f3lares en pr\u00e9stamos respaldados por petr\u00f3leo, mientras Mosc\u00fa ha asegurado presencia estrat\u00e9gica mediante apoyo militar y de infraestructura energ\u00e9tica, mientras que para Washington, permitir que dos potencias rivales consoliden influencia en el hemisferio occidental, resulta inaceptable.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Desde esta \u00f3ptica, la invasi\u00f3n militar directa, no tiene como objetivo real desmantelar el chavismo como sistema, ni mucho menos impulsar una transici\u00f3n democr\u00e1tica genuina. La experiencia en Libia o Afganist\u00e1n demuestra que la ca\u00edda de un l\u00edder no implica la desaparici\u00f3n del r\u00e9gimen que lo sostiene. El inter\u00e9s central de USA es reconfigurar el control del petr\u00f3leo venezolano y hemisf\u00e9rico, impedir que siga fluyendo bajo esquemas preferenciales hacia China o Rusia, y reincorporarlo al mercado global bajo condiciones favorables a empresas y aliados estadounidenses.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>M\u00e9xico no ser\u00eda un actor neutral en este escenario. Como pa\u00eds energ\u00e9tico, frontera sur de Estados Unidos y defensor hist\u00f3rico del principio de no intervenci\u00f3n y de la Doctrina Estrada, una operaci\u00f3n de esta naturaleza tendr\u00e1 consecuencias directas, pues aumentar\u00e1 el precio del petr\u00f3leo, apreciar\u00e1 el d\u00f3lar y ante inestabilidad pol\u00edtica grave en Venezuela se puede prever que incrementar\u00e1n las masas migratorias, aunque tambi\u00e9n polarizar\u00e1 las posturas diplom\u00e1ticas de Am\u00e9rica Latina y colocar\u00eda a M\u00e9xico ante una disyuntiva inc\u00f3moda, alinearse con Washington o reafirmar una pol\u00edtica exterior soberana a costa de fricciones econ\u00f3micas y pol\u00edticas. Pienso que la Presidencia actuar\u00e1 en grupo con Brasil y Colombia, mientras le sea posible.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Si la justificaci\u00f3n de esta intervenci\u00f3n es el car\u00e1cter autoritario de un gobierno, el margen para intervenciones selectivas se ampl\u00eda de manera arbitraria y exponencial. En un mundo cada vez m\u00e1s multipolar, esta l\u00f3gica erosiona el derecho internacional y normaliza el uso de la fuerza como una herramienta de gesti\u00f3n, qu\u00e9 m\u00e1s bien parece a \u00faltimas fechas, ser el com\u00fan denominador; Ucrania, Gaza y ahora Venezuela\u2026ya solo falta China.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>M\u00e1s que una cruzada contra dictaduras, una acci\u00f3n de este tipo, confirmar\u00eda que el petr\u00f3leo sigue siendo el factor decisivo de la pol\u00edtica global. Para M\u00e9xico, comprender esta din\u00e1mica no es un ejercicio meramente acad\u00e9mico, sino una necesidad estrat\u00e9gica. La estabilidad regional y la defensa de la soberan\u00eda no se protegen con discursos, sino con una apropiada pol\u00edtica de seguridad nacional, con lecturas realista del poder y de los intereses que lo mueven.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Jorge Viveros Pasquel La invasi\u00f3n de los Estados Unidos a Venezuela bajo la forma de una operaci\u00f3n militar para capturar al Dictador Nicol\u00e1s Maduro, debe analizarse no solo desde una narrativa moral de la democracia, sino tambi\u00e9n desde la l\u00f3gica dura de la geopol\u00edtica. La historia reciente demuestra que Washington muy rara vez (o mas [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":141391,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"tdm_status":"","tdm_grid_status":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[70],"tags":[123,2019,48756],"class_list":{"0":"post-159620","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-de-opinion","8":"tag-estados-unidos","9":"tag-petroleo","10":"tag-vrenezuela"},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v28.1 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>VENEZUELA, EL PETR\u00d3LEO, LA GEOPOL\u00cdTICA Y M\u00c9XICO - Los pol\u00edticos Veracruz<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/lospoliticosveracruz.com\/?p=159620\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"es_ES\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"VENEZUELA, EL PETR\u00d3LEO, LA GEOPOL\u00cdTICA Y M\u00c9XICO - Los pol\u00edticos Veracruz\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Jorge Viveros Pasquel La invasi\u00f3n de los Estados Unidos a Venezuela bajo la forma de una operaci\u00f3n militar para capturar al Dictador Nicol\u00e1s Maduro, debe analizarse no solo desde una narrativa moral de la democracia, sino tambi\u00e9n desde la l\u00f3gica dura de la geopol\u00edtica. 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