{"id":160447,"date":"2026-01-14T20:58:13","date_gmt":"2026-01-15T02:58:13","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/lospoliticosveracruz.com\/?p=160447"},"modified":"2026-01-14T20:58:14","modified_gmt":"2026-01-15T02:58:14","slug":"presidenta-en-la-boleta-para-ganar","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/lospoliticosveracruz.com\/?p=160447","title":{"rendered":"PRESIDENTA EN LA BOLETA PARA GANAR"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

S\u00edguenos ahora tambi\u00e9n en WhatsApp.\u00a0\u00a1Da clic aqu\u00ed<\/strong><\/a>!<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Carlos Miguel Acosta Bravo*
<\/strong>Impronta<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Incluir la revocaci\u00f3n de mandato de la presidenta Claudia Sheinbaum en la boleta de las elecciones intermedias de 2027 \u2014junto a la eliminaci\u00f3n del fuero para diputados federales, senadores, locales y gobernadores, y la elecci\u00f3n de 17 gobernadores\u2014 generar\u00eda una jornada electoral masiva que podr\u00eda consolidar el poder de Morena, pero con altos riesgos de polarizaci\u00f3n y judicializaci\u00f3n. La Reforma Electoral, en an\u00e1lisis de Ricardo Monreal, reformar\u00eda los arts. 35, 61, 108, 111, 116 y 122 constitucionales para empatar estos elementos, elevando la participaci\u00f3n v\u00eda \u00abefecto arrastre\u00bb de Sheinbaum, pues cuenta con una alta aprobaci\u00f3n ciudadana superior al 70%.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n


Las implicaciones econ\u00f3micas, podr\u00edan ser una mayor volatilidad por incertidumbre pol\u00edtica, pues una concentraci\u00f3n de poder en Morena, quien contin\u00faa acelerando importantes y controvertidas reformas como la segunda parte de integrantes del poder judicial, as\u00ed como la reforma energ\u00e9tica, misma que podr\u00eda seguir desincentivando la inversi\u00f3n extranjera directa y elevando las primas de riesgo por la incertidumbre para invertir, que a juicio riesgo de la Consultora Integralia, continuar\u00eda increment\u00e1ndose. Con 17 gubernaturas en juego, las disputas locales podr\u00edan frenar proyectos regionales, impactando el crecimiento econ\u00f3mico de hasta 1% PIB en el bienio 2027-28.
Las implicaciones pol\u00edticas dan una ventaja importante a Morena, en consideraci\u00f3n a que Sheinbaum act\u00faa como \u00abmotor\u00bb para arrasar en la elecci\u00f3n de diputados, gobernadores, as\u00ed como en comicios judiciales, legitimando hegemon\u00eda y debilitando a\u00fan m\u00e1s a la casi inexistente oposici\u00f3n.
Los riesgos podr\u00edan significar una baja participaci\u00f3n, incluso menor al 10% como lo fue la elecci\u00f3n del poder judicial en 2024, si la revocaci\u00f3n se percibe como ratificatoria\u00bb, podr\u00eda significar fracturas en los partidos aliados como el Partido del Trabajo y el Verde Ecologista, lo cual podr\u00eda llevar incluso a la judicializaci\u00f3n que ser\u00eda presentada por la oposici\u00f3n.
El efecto eliminaci\u00f3n del fuero constitucional podr\u00eda incluir\/afectar hasta a 1,000 funcionarios. Sin embargo, la selectividad percibida podr\u00eda erosionar a\u00fan m\u00e1s la confianza institucional. En el caso particular de los gobernadores (17 en elecci\u00f3n) podr\u00eda colocarlos en una situaci\u00f3n de mayor vigilancia e incluso fr\u00e1gilidad, pues estar\u00edan enfrentando mayor vulnerabilidad, potenciando litigios post-electorales.
El impacto en confianza al reafirmarse un hiperpresidencialismo que polariza, eleva el riesgo pol\u00edtico, uno de los 10 puntos m\u00e1s importantes considerados por Integralia para el a\u00f1o 2026, reduce certidumbre para inversionistas y frena contrapesos democr\u00e1ticos. Los partidos de oposici\u00f3n: PAN, PRI y MC rechazan como \u00absupervivencia pol\u00edtica\u00bb, previendo la pulverizaci\u00f3n de la oposici\u00f3n.
La propuesta de Reforma Electoral 2026, que incluye revocaci\u00f3n de mandato de Sheinbaum, eliminaci\u00f3n de fuero y superelecci\u00f3n en 2027 (17 gobernadores, 31 congresos locales, alcald\u00edas en 30 estados), genera cr\u00edticas por inoportunidad ante tensiones EE.UU.-M\u00e9xico, en medio de la negociaci\u00f3n comercial del TMEC. Con declaraciones del presidente Donald Trump, en el sentido de que a EU no le importa el acuerdo y por otro lado, la detenci\u00f3n del presidente Nicol\u00e1s Maduro (14 enero 2026), mismo que ha sido interpretado como se\u00f1al contra autoritarismos. Los partidos opositores ven retroceso democr\u00e1tico al eliminar autonom\u00eda INE, convirtiendo consejeros en funcionarios dependientes de Morena.
La inoportunidad geopol\u00edtica refleja tensiones bilaterales (aranceles impuestos por Trump por temas como muertes por fentanilo, migraci\u00f3n ilegal, y el bloqueo a Cuba) en donde incluso le est\u00e1n solicitando a M\u00e9xico suspender la ministraci\u00f3n de petr\u00f3leo y combustibles a la Isla. Tambi\u00e9n destaca la \u00abadvertencia estrat\u00e9gica\u00bb post-Maduro, que elevan la percepci\u00f3n de debilidad institucional; reforma percibida como \u00abLey Maduro\u00bb que agrava riesgos para la continuidad del TMEC y calificaciones soberanas, que pueden sonar bien en el discurso, pero que no agradan al poderoso presidente estadounidense Donald Trump.
En cuanto al retroceso por la p\u00e9rdida de la autonom\u00eda del INE, el coordinador Presidencial Pablo G\u00f3mez y a la vez coordinador del partido oficial Morena, quien rechaz\u00f3 continuar con la autonom\u00eda plena del INE, ha estado proponiendo un presupuesto atado al PIB y que los Consejeros sean nombrados por el Poder Ejecutivo y por el poder Legislativo con mayor\u00eda oficialista, subordin\u00e1ndolos as\u00ed al gobierno de Morena y facilitando elecciones \u00abcontroladas\u00bb. Esto pulverizar\u00eda contrapesos, afectando elecciones libres en superelecci\u00f3n 2027 lo cual significar\u00eda una mayor complejidad log\u00edstica, tan solo por el n\u00famero de boletas electorales.La Reforma acelera la incertidumbre en los pr\u00f3ximos a\u00f1os 2026-27, y la inoportuna reforma electoral estar\u00eda priorizando la ideolog\u00eda y el control sobre la estabilidad y el desarrollo del pa\u00eds.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Comente u opine a:
cacostabravo@yahoo.com.mx<\/p>\n\n\n\n

*Maestro en comunicaci\u00f3n por la Universidad Iberoamericana, de la cual form\u00f3 parte del cuerpo acad\u00e9mico de la Licenciatura en comunicaci\u00f3n, as\u00ed como de la Universidad An\u00e1huac, camp\u00fas norte de CDMX.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Carlos Miguel Acosta Bravo*Impronta Incluir la revocaci\u00f3n de mandato de la presidenta Claudia Sheinbaum en la boleta de las elecciones intermedias de 2027 \u2014junto a la eliminaci\u00f3n del fuero para diputados federales, senadores, locales y gobernadores, y la elecci\u00f3n de 17 gobernadores\u2014 generar\u00eda una jornada electoral masiva que podr\u00eda consolidar el poder de Morena, pero […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":141377,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"tdm_status":"","tdm_grid_status":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[70],"tags":[50214,50217,50215,50218,50212,50216,50213],"class_list":{"0":"post-160447","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-de-opinion","8":"tag-autonomia-del-ine-reforma-2026-morena","9":"tag-carlos-miguel-acosta-bravo-impronta-columna","10":"tag-eliminacion-de-fuero-constitucional-legisladores-mexico","11":"tag-impacto-economico-elecciones-intermedias-2027-mexico","12":"tag-reforma-electoral-mexico-2026-sheinbaum","13":"tag-revocacion-de-mandato-claudia-sheinbaum-2027","14":"tag-riesgos-politicos-integralia-mexico-2026"},"yoast_head":"\nPRESIDENTA EN LA BOLETA PARA GANAR - 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