{"id":161808,"date":"2026-01-27T21:22:08","date_gmt":"2026-01-28T03:22:08","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/lospoliticosveracruz.com\/?p=161808"},"modified":"2026-01-27T21:22:09","modified_gmt":"2026-01-28T03:22:09","slug":"mexico-dejo-de-vender-petroleo-a-cuba","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/lospoliticosveracruz.com\/?p=161808","title":{"rendered":"M\u00c9XICO DEJ\u00d3 DE VENDER PETR\u00d3LEO A CUBA"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

Carlos Miguel Acosta Bravo*<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Impronta<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

M\u00e9xico fren\u00f3 al menos un cargamento de crudo a Cuba por una combinaci\u00f3n de presi\u00f3n pol\u00edtica de Estados Unidos, temor a represalias en el contexto del TMEC y el c\u00e1lculo de que el costo econ\u00f3mico y diplom\u00e1tico de seguir enviando petr\u00f3leo supera el beneficio simb\u00f3lico hacia La Habana.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Bloomberg y Reuters reportan que Pemex retir\u00f3 de su calendario un cargamento de crudo destinado a Cuba, en medio de \u201ccrecientes temores\u201d dentro del gobierno de Sheinbaum a represalias de Washington bajo la presidencia de Donald Trump.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Tras la captura de Nicol\u00e1s Maduro y el bloqueo de tanqueros venezolanos, Cuba perdi\u00f3 su principal proveedor; al convertirse M\u00e9xico en el suministrador clave, pas\u00f3 a estar en la mira directa de la Casa Blanca.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Trump ha declarado p\u00fablicamente que \u201cNO HABR\u00c1 M\u00c1S PETR\u00d3LEO NI DINERO PARA CUBA \u2013 CERO\u201d, mensaje le\u00eddo en la regi\u00f3n como una advertencia a cualquier pa\u00eds que supla a Venezuela, incluyendo expl\u00edcitamente a M\u00e9xico.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Fuentes citadas por Reuters y medios especializados indican que en la administraci\u00f3n mexicana hay preocupaci\u00f3n espec\u00edfica por posibles medidas de represalia: aranceles, uso del tema energ\u00e9tico en la revisi\u00f3n del TMEC, sanciones financieras o presiones en materia de seguridad (amenaza de acciones unilaterales contra c\u00e1rteles).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Entre enero y septiembre del a\u00f1o pasado, M\u00e9xico envi\u00f3 en promedio 17,200 barriles diarios de crudo y unos 2,000 de refinados a Cuba, vol\u00famenes significativos para una isla con fuerte dependencia de importaciones para generar electricidad, transporte y aviaci\u00f3n.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Con los env\u00edos venezolanos pr\u00e1cticamente detenidos y pocos productores dispuestos a exponerse a sanciones de Estados Unidos, la p\u00e9rdida de crudo mexicano agrava una situaci\u00f3n ya marcada por apagones, racionamiento de combustible y crisis econ\u00f3mica.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

An\u00e1lisis de riesgo se\u00f1alan que un corte prolongado de suministros puede profundizar la crisis humanitaria y aumentar la probabilidad de migraci\u00f3n masiva desde Cuba, potencialmente hacia M\u00e9xico y Estados Unidos, lo que parad\u00f3jicamente generar\u00eda presi\u00f3n adicional sobre el propio gobierno mexicano.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Varios reportes apuntan a que la reducci\u00f3n de combustible ya ha provocado apagones m\u00e1s frecuentes y dificultades para mantener transporte p\u00fablico y servicios b\u00e1sicos, lo que empuja a m\u00e1s personas a considerar la salida del pa\u00eds.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

M\u00e9xico est\u00e1 intentando, simult\u00e1neamente, renegociar o \u201creabrir\u201d aspectos del TMEC y convencer a Washington de que no hace falta una intervenci\u00f3n directa de Estados Unidos contra los c\u00e1rteles en territorio mexicano.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Mantenerse como principal proveedor de petr\u00f3leo de Cuba justo cuando Trump endurece su l\u00ednea hacia La Habana contradec\u00eda ese objetivo: ofrec\u00eda al gobierno estadounidense un flanco de presi\u00f3n f\u00e1cil (amenaza arancelaria, investigaciones bajo el TMEC, condicionamiento en temas de energ\u00eda y cadenas de suministro).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Al frenar embarques, M\u00e9xico busca reducir el incentivo para que Washington use Cuba como argumento para castigar a M\u00e9xico en la mesa del TMEC, donde ya hay tensiones previas por pol\u00edtica energ\u00e9tica interna, reglas de origen automotrices y temas laborales.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

El costo para M\u00e9xico es principalmente reputacional en Am\u00e9rica Latina (aparece como cediendo a presi\u00f3n de Estados Unidos) y pol\u00edtico interno (retrocede en la narrativa de solidaridad incondicional con Cuba), pero evita choques inmediatos que podr\u00edan tener impactos econ\u00f3micos grandes en comercio e inversi\u00f3n norteamericana.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Bloomberg accedi\u00f3 a documentos de programaci\u00f3n de cargas de Pemex y report\u00f3 que el cargamento a Cuba hab\u00eda sido retirado del calendario antes de cualquier anuncio formal de gobierno.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

En operaciones petroleras, los cambios en itinerarios de buques, cartas de cr\u00e9dito y nominaciones de carga suelen ser visibles para traders, navieras y analistas de mercado antes de que haya confirmaci\u00f3n pol\u00edtica; de ah\u00ed que una agencia financiera especializada lo detecte primero.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

El gobierno mexicano, por su parte, ha optado por una estrategia de ambig\u00fcedad: Sheinbaum no ha desmentido la informaci\u00f3n, pero se limita a decir que, \u201cen su caso, se informar\u00e1\u201d, sugiriendo que prefiere manejar el tema como decisi\u00f3n \u201ct\u00e9cnica\u201d de Pemex, m\u00e1s que como giro pol\u00edtico frente a Cuba y Washington.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

En conjunto, puede leerse que M\u00e9xico prioriz\u00f3 minimizar riesgos en su relaci\u00f3n con Estados Unidos y en la negociaci\u00f3n del TMEC, aun a costa de reducir una de las pocas palancas de pol\u00edtica exterior que ten\u00eda con Cuba y de aceptar, de facto, la l\u00ednea dura de Washington sobre el flujo de petr\u00f3leo hacia la isla.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Comente u opine a:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

cacostabravo@yahoo.com.mx<\/p>\n\n\n\n

*Maestro en comunicaci\u00f3n por la Universidad Iberoamericana, de la cual form\u00f3 parte del cuerpo acad\u00e9mico de la Licenciatura en comunicaci\u00f3n, as\u00ed como de la Universidad An\u00e1huac, camp\u00fas norte de CDMX.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Carlos Miguel Acosta Bravo* Impronta M\u00e9xico fren\u00f3 al menos un cargamento de crudo a Cuba por una combinaci\u00f3n de presi\u00f3n pol\u00edtica de Estados Unidos, temor a represalias en el contexto del TMEC y el c\u00e1lculo de que el costo econ\u00f3mico y diplom\u00e1tico de seguir enviando petr\u00f3leo supera el beneficio simb\u00f3lico hacia La Habana. Bloomberg y […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":141377,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"tdm_status":"","tdm_grid_status":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[70],"tags":[52062,52058,52060,52059,52061],"class_list":{"0":"post-161808","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-de-opinion","8":"tag-crisis-energetica-en-cuba","9":"tag-mexico-petroleo-cuba","10":"tag-pemex-suspendio-envios-a-cuba","11":"tag-presion-de-estados-unidos-a-mexico","12":"tag-tmec-y-politica-energetica"},"yoast_head":"\nM\u00c9XICO DEJ\u00d3 DE VENDER PETR\u00d3LEO A CUBA - Los pol\u00edticos Veracruz<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/lospoliticosveracruz.com\/?p=161808\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"es_ES\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"M\u00c9XICO DEJ\u00d3 DE VENDER PETR\u00d3LEO A CUBA - Los pol\u00edticos Veracruz\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Carlos Miguel Acosta Bravo* Impronta M\u00e9xico fren\u00f3 al menos un cargamento de crudo a Cuba por una combinaci\u00f3n de presi\u00f3n pol\u00edtica de Estados Unidos, temor a represalias en el contexto del TMEC y el c\u00e1lculo de que el costo econ\u00f3mico y diplom\u00e1tico de seguir enviando petr\u00f3leo supera el beneficio simb\u00f3lico hacia La Habana. 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