{"id":168880,"date":"2026-04-15T21:18:47","date_gmt":"2026-04-16T03:18:47","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/lospoliticosveracruz.com\/?p=168880"},"modified":"2026-04-15T21:18:48","modified_gmt":"2026-04-16T03:18:48","slug":"menos-homicidios-mas-paz","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/lospoliticosveracruz.com\/?p=168880","title":{"rendered":"\u00bfMENOS HOMICIDIOS, M\u00c1S PAZ?\u00a0"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

Carlos Miguel Acosta Bravo<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Impronta<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

En M\u00e9xico, los n\u00fameros comienzan a contar una historia distinta. La reducci\u00f3n de homicidios dolosos \u2014de aproximadamente 91.7 diarios en 2024 a 50.8 en el primer trimestre de 2026\u2014 representa una ca\u00edda cercana al 45%. Se trata de cifras oficiales que, por s\u00ed mismas, marcan un punto de inflexi\u00f3n en uno de los problemas m\u00e1s graves del pa\u00eds. Sin embargo, la pregunta clave no es solo cu\u00e1nto han bajado los homicidios, sino por qu\u00e9.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Para responderla, es indispensable analizar la llamada nueva Estrategia Nacional de Seguridad, implementada desde finales de 2024, la cual combina elementos de continuidad con cambios significativos respecto al enfoque anterior.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Uno de los giros m\u00e1s evidentes es el uso m\u00e1s activo de la fuerza del Estado. A diferencia de la pol\u00edtica de contenci\u00f3n \u201cde abrazos no balazos\u201dque caracteriz\u00f3 el periodo previo, hoy se observan operativos dirigidos contra l\u00edderes criminales y estructuras clave. No se trata de despliegues indiscriminados, sino de acciones focalizadas que buscan desarticular organizaciones. Este cambio refleja una disposici\u00f3n m\u00e1s clara a confrontar directamente a los grupos delictivos.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

A la par, la estrategia ha fortalecido el componente de inteligencia e investigaci\u00f3n. Ya no se privilegia \u00fanicamente el patrullaje o la presencia territorial, sino el an\u00e1lisis de redes criminales, la coordinaci\u00f3n interinstitucional \u2014incluyendo Ej\u00e9rcito, Guardia Nacional, Fiscal\u00eda e incluso agencias internacionales\u2014 y las llamadas \u201coperaciones de precisi\u00f3n\u201d. El objetivo es atacar el funcionamiento interno del crimen organizado, no solo sus manifestaciones visibles.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Otro elemento clave es la focalizaci\u00f3n territorial. La violencia en M\u00e9xico no est\u00e1 distribuida de manera homog\u00e9nea, pocos estados concentran m\u00e1s de la mitad de los homicidios. Bajo esta l\u00f3gica, la estrategia actual prioriza intervenciones en zonas cr\u00edticas, adoptando un enfoque m\u00e1s quir\u00fargico que generalizado. Esto permite optimizar recursos y aumentar el impacto de las acciones.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Asimismo, se ha apostado por el fortalecimiento institucional. La profesionalizaci\u00f3n de mandos, la mejora en la coordinaci\u00f3n del Gabinete de Seguridad y el incremento en capacidades operativas apuntan a construir un aparato de seguridad m\u00e1s s\u00f3lido y eficiente, capaz de sostener resultados en el tiempo.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

No obstante, la estrategia no abandona por completo el enfoque social. Los programas orientados a atender las causas estructurales de la violencia \u2014como la pobreza o la falta de oportunidades para j\u00f3venes\u2014 contin\u00faan, aunque ahora como un complemento y no como el eje central.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Este conjunto de acciones ayuda a explicar la reducci\u00f3n reciente en homicidios. Entre los factores m\u00e1s relevantes destacan los golpes a liderazgos criminales, como el de Nemesio Oceguera \u201cEl Mencho\u201d la mayor coordinaci\u00f3n institucional, las intervenciones focalizadas y, no menos importante, una tendencia a la baja que ya ven\u00eda gest\u00e1ndose desde 2024.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Sin embargo, ser\u00eda un error interpretar estos datos como una soluci\u00f3n definitiva. La violencia sigue concentrada en determinadas regiones, otros delitos como la extorsi\u00f3n y las desapariciones persisten, y la percepci\u00f3n de inseguridad contin\u00faa siendo alta entre la poblaci\u00f3n. La estad\u00edstica, aunque alentadora, no siempre se traduce en una sensaci\u00f3n real de tranquilidad.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

La comparaci\u00f3n con la estrategia anterior es inevitable. Mientras el enfoque de \u201cabrazos, no balazos\u201d priorizaba la atenci\u00f3n a causas sociales y evitaba la confrontaci\u00f3n directa, el modelo actual apuesta por un equilibrio entre prevenci\u00f3n, inteligencia y uso de la fuerza. Pero tambi\u00e9n es importante reconocer que la disminuci\u00f3n de homicidios no parte de cero, se construye sobre una tendencia descendente iniciada en el sexenio previo.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

En este contexto, la conclusi\u00f3n debe ser matizada. S\u00ed, M\u00e9xico registra una reducci\u00f3n significativa en homicidios. S\u00ed, hay indicios de que la estrategia actual est\u00e1 teniendo efectos. Pero afirmar que el pa\u00eds ha recuperado la paz resulta, por ahora, prematuro.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

La seguridad no se mide solo en cifras, sino en la vida cotidiana de las personas. Y ah\u00ed, el desaf\u00edo sigue vigente.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Comente u opine a:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

cacostabravo@yahoo.com.mx<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Maestro en Comunicaci\u00f3n por la Universidad Iberoamericana. Form\u00f3 parte  del cuerpo acad\u00e9mico en comunicaci\u00f3n en la Ibero y en la Universidad An\u00e1huac, campus norte CDMX.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Carlos Miguel Acosta Bravo Impronta En M\u00e9xico, los n\u00fameros comienzan a contar una historia distinta. La reducci\u00f3n de homicidios dolosos \u2014de aproximadamente 91.7 diarios en 2024 a 50.8 en el primer trimestre de 2026\u2014 representa una ca\u00edda cercana al 45%. Se trata de cifras oficiales que, por s\u00ed mismas, marcan un punto de inflexi\u00f3n en […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":141377,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"tdm_status":"","tdm_grid_status":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[70],"tags":[61059,49024,61056,61058,61057],"class_list":{"0":"post-168880","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-de-opinion","8":"tag-captura-de-el-mencho-impacto","9":"tag-carlos-miguel-acosta-bravo-impronta","10":"tag-estrategia-nacional-seguridad-sheinbaum","11":"tag-inteligencia-y-seguridad-mexico","12":"tag-reduccion-homicidios-mexico-2026"},"yoast_head":"\n\u00bfMENOS HOMICIDIOS, M\u00c1S PAZ?\u00a0 - Los pol\u00edticos Veracruz<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/lospoliticosveracruz.com\/?p=168880\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"es_ES\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"\u00bfMENOS HOMICIDIOS, M\u00c1S PAZ?\u00a0 - Los pol\u00edticos Veracruz\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Carlos Miguel Acosta Bravo Impronta En M\u00e9xico, los n\u00fameros comienzan a contar una historia distinta. 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