{"id":170844,"date":"2026-05-06T22:20:07","date_gmt":"2026-05-07T04:20:07","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/lospoliticosveracruz.com\/?p=170844"},"modified":"2026-05-06T22:22:06","modified_gmt":"2026-05-07T04:22:06","slug":"mexico-frente-al-calor-extremo","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/lospoliticosveracruz.com\/?p=170844","title":{"rendered":"M\u00c9XICO FRENTE AL CALOR EXTREMO"},"content":{"rendered":"
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Carlos Miguel Acosta Bravo<\/strong>
Impronta<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Ayer en Xalapa se registraron temperaturas de hasta 35\u00b0, in\u00e9dita para capital veracruzana. La ola de calor que golpea a gran parte de M\u00e9xico no solo est\u00e1 elevando los term\u00f3metros por encima de los 45 grados cent\u00edgrados; tambi\u00e9n est\u00e1 exhibiendo una realidad inc\u00f3moda y cada vez m\u00e1s dif\u00edcil de ocultar, el Sistema El\u00e9ctrico Nacional opera bajo una presi\u00f3n creciente y con m\u00e1rgenes cada vez m\u00e1s reducidos para responder a la demanda del pa\u00eds.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Aunque las autoridades suelen descartar escenarios catastr\u00f3ficos, la posibilidad de apagones regionales y fallas recurrentes dej\u00f3 de ser una hip\u00f3tesis lejana. El problema ya no es \u00fanicamente clim\u00e1tico; es estructural, econ\u00f3mico y pol\u00edtico.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Cada vez que millones de hogares encienden simult\u00e1neamente ventiladores, climas y sistemas de refrigeraci\u00f3n, el consumo el\u00e9ctrico se dispara a niveles hist\u00f3ricos. A eso se suma una industria que no se detiene, centros comerciales completamente climatizados, oficinas corporativas, sistemas de bombeo de agua y cadenas de fr\u00edo indispensables para alimentos y medicamentos. El resultado es una red el\u00e9ctrica que entra en tensi\u00f3n extrema, particularmente durante las horas pico de la tarde y noche.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

El riesgo m\u00e1s delicado no es solo generar suficiente electricidad, sino poder transportarla. Muchas l\u00edneas de transmisi\u00f3n y subestaciones operan cerca de su l\u00edmite t\u00e9cnico, mientras transformadores envejecidos y redes saturadas evidencian a\u00f1os de rezago en infraestructura.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

M\u00e9xico enfrenta adem\u00e1s una vulnerabilidad estrat\u00e9gica, su fuerte dependencia del gas natural importado desde Estados Unidos. Cualquier problema clim\u00e1tico, operativo o pol\u00edtico en Texas puede afectar directamente la generaci\u00f3n el\u00e9ctrica nacional. El antecedente de la tormenta invernal de 2021 demostr\u00f3 que esa dependencia puede convertirse r\u00e1pidamente en una crisis energ\u00e9tica.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

A ello se agrega otro factor que pocas veces se discute con suficiente profundidad, el crecimiento industrial acelerado derivado del nearshoring. La llegada de nuevas inversiones y plantas manufactureras representa una oportunidad econ\u00f3mica enorme, pero tambi\u00e9n implica una demanda gigantesca de energ\u00eda constante y confiable. Estados industriales como Nuevo Le\u00f3n, Coahuila, Chihuahua, Guanajuato y Quer\u00e9taro ya comienzan a resentir esa presi\u00f3n.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

La gran contradicci\u00f3n es evidente, M\u00e9xico busca convertirse en una potencia industrial regional, pero su infraestructura el\u00e9ctrica avanza mucho m\u00e1s lento que sus necesidades econ\u00f3micas.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

En este contexto, los apagones ya no deben interpretarse \u00fanicamente como fallas aisladas, sino como se\u00f1ales de advertencia de un sistema que opera cada vez m\u00e1s cerca de su l\u00edmite. El CENACE todav\u00eda cuenta con mecanismos para evitar un colapso nacional completo mediante cortes rotativos, reducci\u00f3n de carga y desconexiones controladas, pero esos recursos funcionan m\u00e1s como medidas de contenci\u00f3n que como soluciones de fondo.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Y las implicaciones van mucho m\u00e1s all\u00e1 de quedarse sin luz algunas horas. Un sistema el\u00e9ctrico bajo estr\u00e9s afecta producci\u00f3n industrial, hospitales, suministro de agua, telecomunicaciones, movilidad y estabilidad econ\u00f3mica. Tambi\u00e9n tiene un costo pol\u00edtico y social, el descontento crece r\u00e1pidamente cuando millones de personas enfrentan temperaturas extremas sin energ\u00eda suficiente para enfriar sus hogares.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

El verdadero debate no deber\u00eda centrarse \u00fanicamente en si habr\u00e1 o no apagones este verano, sino en si M\u00e9xico est\u00e1 preparado para enfrentar el futuro energ\u00e9tico que ya lleg\u00f3. El cambio clim\u00e1tico seguir\u00e1 elevando temperaturas, la poblaci\u00f3n continuar\u00e1 creciendo y la actividad industrial demandar\u00e1 cada vez m\u00e1s electricidad.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Sin inversi\u00f3n suficiente en generaci\u00f3n, transmisi\u00f3n, almacenamiento y modernizaci\u00f3n de redes, el pa\u00eds podr\u00eda entrar en una etapa donde las crisis el\u00e9ctricas dejen de ser excepcionales para convertirse en parte de la normalidad.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

La ola de calor actual est\u00e1 funcionando como una advertencia anticipada. El problema es que M\u00e9xico parece escucharla, pero todav\u00eda no reacciona con la velocidad que exige la magnitud del desaf\u00edo.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Comente u opine a:
cacostabravo@yahoo.com.mx<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Maestro en Comunicaci\u00f3n por la Universidad Iberoamericana. Form\u00f3 parte  del cuerpo acad\u00e9mico en comunicaci\u00f3n en la Ibero y en la Universidad An\u00e1huac, campus norte CDMX.<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Carlos Miguel Acosta BravoImpronta Ayer en Xalapa se registraron temperaturas de hasta 35\u00b0, in\u00e9dita para capital veracruzana. La ola de calor que golpea a gran parte de M\u00e9xico no solo est\u00e1 elevando los term\u00f3metros por encima de los 45 grados cent\u00edgrados; tambi\u00e9n est\u00e1 exhibiendo una realidad inc\u00f3moda y cada vez m\u00e1s dif\u00edcil de ocultar, el Sistema El\u00e9ctrico […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":141377,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"tdm_status":"","tdm_grid_status":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[70],"tags":[5225,43303,63299,96],"class_list":{"0":"post-170844","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-de-opinion","8":"tag-calor","9":"tag-carlos-miguel-acosta-bravo-2","10":"tag-cenace","11":"tag-xalapa"},"yoast_head":"\nM\u00c9XICO FRENTE AL CALOR EXTREMO - Los pol\u00edticos Veracruz<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/lospoliticosveracruz.com\/?p=170844\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"es_ES\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"M\u00c9XICO FRENTE AL CALOR EXTREMO - 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