{"id":182839,"date":"2026-10-11T17:35:25","date_gmt":"2026-10-11T23:35:25","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/lospoliticosveracruz.com\/?p=182839"},"modified":"2026-10-11T17:35:28","modified_gmt":"2026-10-11T23:35:28","slug":"cuitlahuac-y-la-crisis-que-viene","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/lospoliticosveracruz.com\/?p=182839","title":{"rendered":"CUITL\u00c1HUAC Y LA CRISIS QUE VIENE"},"content":{"rendered":"
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\"\"<\/a><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n

Jorge Ram\u00f3n Rizzo*<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Focus Group<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

La seguridad energ\u00e9tica de M\u00e9xico se encuentra en un punto de extrema tensi\u00f3n. Las recientes alertas operacionales del Cenagas y las posteriores declaraciones de su director, el veracruzano Cuitl\u00e1huac Garc\u00eda Jim\u00e9nez, han puesto en evidencia la fragilidad de la matriz energ\u00e9tica mexicana.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Aunque el discurso oficial se apresur\u00f3 a apagar las alarmas de desabasto, la realidad t\u00e9cnica, econ\u00f3mica y pol\u00edtica, revela un pa\u00eds que camina sobre la cuerda floja debido a su dependencia absoluta del exterior para alimentar su aparato industrial y el\u00e9ctrico.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

El debate actual se deton\u00f3 tras una notificaci\u00f3n de las empresas operadoras de infraestructura en Estados Unidos, las cuales informaron a M\u00e9xico sobre una reducci\u00f3n del 20% en el env\u00edo de gas natural debido a contingencias t\u00e9cnicas en sus sistemas. Ante la inminencia de la contingencia, la primera reacci\u00f3n del titular de Cenagas, Cuitl\u00e1huac Garc\u00eda, fue de una inusual franqueza, admitiendo p\u00fablicamente que M\u00e9xico cuenta con reservas equivalentes a apenas tres d\u00edas de consumo ante un corte total del suministro exterior.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Sin embargo, en cuesti\u00f3n de horas, el control de da\u00f1os pol\u00edtico surti\u00f3 efecto. Tras una reuni\u00f3n en Palacio Nacional, el exgobernador de Veracruz matiz\u00f3 dr\u00e1sticamente su postura ante los medios de comunicaci\u00f3n, afirmando que no exist\u00eda riesgo alguno de crisis ni desabasto, asegurando que Pemex hab\u00eda incrementado de inmediato su producci\u00f3n interna para compensar la ca\u00edda. Este dr\u00e1stico cambio de narrativa evidencia la tensi\u00f3n constante entre la transparencia operativa y la necesidad pol\u00edtica de proyectar estabilidad.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Desde una perspectiva t\u00e9cnica, la afirmaci\u00f3n de que el pa\u00eds tiene \u201ctres d\u00edas de reserva\u201d encubre una deficiencia estructural alarmante. M\u00e9xico carece de almacenamiento comercial y estrat\u00e9gico de gas natural. Esos tres d\u00edas no corresponden a inventarios f\u00edsicos resguardados en cavernas salinas, campos depletados o tanques criog\u00e9nicos de gas natural licuado (GNL); corresponden simplemente al gas que se encuentra en tr\u00e1nsito permanente \u2014el llamado linepack\u2014 dentro de la red nacional de gasoductos (Sistrangas).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Si el flujo de gas desde Estados Unidos se detiene por completo, la presi\u00f3n del sistema cae y las tuber\u00edas se vac\u00edan en menos de 72 horas. Mientras naciones de la OCDE mantienen inventarios estrat\u00e9gicos obligatorios para cubrir entre 30 y 90 d\u00edas de consumo interno, M\u00e9xico carece de esta red de amortiguamiento, dejando su infraestructura expuesta a cualquier shock clim\u00e1tico o geopol\u00edtico.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

D\u00edas atr\u00e1s, Cuitl\u00e1huac como uno de los oradores principales en el festejo n\u00famero 15 de Morena, adopt\u00f3 una l\u00ednea de resistencia ideol\u00f3gica y pureza partidista, centrando su discurso en cerrar filas frente a la derecha internacional, cuestionando si se le dejar\u00eda el camino libre a un \u201cregreso del neofascismo\u201d. Mientras en los foros morenistas se celebra la transformaci\u00f3n de las conciencias, en la red de ductos de Cenagas la soberan\u00eda energ\u00e9tica sigue dependiendo de las decisiones del extranjero: Nulificando el discurso de \u201cSoberan\u00eda Energ\u00e9tica\u201d.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Econ\u00f3micamente, la vulnerabilidad se traduce en una dependencia comercial total, ya que M\u00e9xico importa entre el 70% y el 75% del gas natural que consume, proviniendo la inmensa mayor\u00eda de las cuencas de Texas (Waha y Permian). Si bien este combustible es el m\u00e1s barato del mundo, la sujeci\u00f3n a un \u00fanico proveedor es un riesgo que expone nuestra endeble situaci\u00f3n.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Porque adem\u00e1s, debe decirse que el gas natural es la columna vertebral de la econom\u00eda mexicana, ya que m\u00e1s del 60% de la energ\u00eda el\u00e9ctrica del pa\u00eds se genera en plantas de ciclo combinado impulsadas por este hidrocarburo. Adem\u00e1s, sectores claves como el sider\u00fargico, petroqu\u00edmico, cementero y automotriz dependen del gas para sus procesos t\u00e9rmicos. Un desabasto prolongado paralizar\u00eda de forma inmediata los corredores industriales del Baj\u00edo y el Norte del pa\u00eds, fulminando la competitividad y espantando las inversiones atra\u00eddas por el \u2018nearshoring\u2019.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

En el plano pol\u00edtico, esta crisis desmantela la narrativa de \u201csoberan\u00eda energ\u00e9tica\u201d heredada del sexenio anterior y choca con las metas de la administraci\u00f3n de la presidenta Claudia Sheinbaum. Para revertir esta situaci\u00f3n, el gobierno federal contempla en su plan energ\u00e9tico una meta sumamente ambiciosa: Elevar la producci\u00f3n nacional de gas de 3,800 a 5,000 millones de pies c\u00fabicos diarios hacia el a\u00f1o 2030.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

No obstante, alcanzar este objetivo plantea una profunda contradicci\u00f3n ideol\u00f3gica y ambiental. Las mayores reservas no asociadas del pa\u00eds se encuentran en yacimientos no convencionales del norte de Coahuila y la cuenca de Burgos, cuya extracci\u00f3n viable requiere de la fracturaci\u00f3n hidr\u00e1ulica (fracking). La reactivaci\u00f3n de esta t\u00e9cnica le pega directamente al discurso ecologista y de sustentabilidad del bloque gobernante, abriendo un debate \u00e1lgido entre la urgencia de seguridad energ\u00e9tica y los severos costos ambientales en regiones con alto estr\u00e9s h\u00eddrico.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

La crisis latente del gas natural en M\u00e9xico no se resuelve con declaraciones de calma a las afueras de los recintos oficiales ni con boletines oficiales. De acuerdo a expertos consultados por \u2018Focus Group\u2019, la vulnerabilidad es real, f\u00edsica y medible. Con la temporada invernal en puerta, el riesgo de que tormentas invernales en Texas congelen los ductos y fuercen apagones masivos sigue siendo una amenaza latente, como ya sucedi\u00f3 con aquella hist\u00f3rica \u2018Tormenta Uri\u2019 de 2021. Para M\u00e9xico, el gas natural ya no es solo un insumo energ\u00e9tico barato; es el principal factor de riesgo para nuestra estabilidad econ\u00f3mica y soberan\u00eda nacional. Realmente estamos a la puerta de lo que podr\u00eda ser la peor crisis energ\u00e9tica en la historia de M\u00e9xico.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

*Periodista\/Tlaxcala<\/p>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Jorge Ram\u00f3n Rizzo* Focus Group La seguridad energ\u00e9tica de M\u00e9xico se encuentra en un punto de extrema tensi\u00f3n. Las recientes alertas operacionales del Cenagas y las posteriores declaraciones de su director, el veracruzano Cuitl\u00e1huac Garc\u00eda Jim\u00e9nez, han puesto en evidencia la fragilidad de la matriz energ\u00e9tica mexicana. Aunque el discurso oficial se apresur\u00f3 a apagar […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":174802,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"tdm_status":"","tdm_grid_status":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[70],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-182839","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-de-opinion"],"yoast_head":"\nCUITL\u00c1HUAC Y LA CRISIS QUE VIENE - Los pol\u00edticos Veracruz<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/lospoliticosveracruz.com\/?p=182839\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"es_ES\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"CUITL\u00c1HUAC Y LA CRISIS QUE VIENE - Los pol\u00edticos Veracruz\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Jorge Ram\u00f3n Rizzo* Focus Group La seguridad energ\u00e9tica de M\u00e9xico se encuentra en un punto de extrema tensi\u00f3n. Las recientes alertas operacionales del Cenagas y las posteriores declaraciones de su director, el veracruzano Cuitl\u00e1huac Garc\u00eda Jim\u00e9nez, han puesto en evidencia la fragilidad de la matriz energ\u00e9tica mexicana. 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