{"id":183227,"date":"2026-10-16T07:15:12","date_gmt":"2026-10-16T13:15:12","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/lospoliticosveracruz.com\/?p=183227"},"modified":"2026-10-16T07:15:14","modified_gmt":"2026-10-16T13:15:14","slug":"xalapa-2027-pronostico-reservado","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/lospoliticosveracruz.com\/?p=183227","title":{"rendered":"XALAPA 2027: PRON\u00d3STICO RESERVADO"},"content":{"rendered":"<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"alignleft size-full is-resized\"><a href=\"https:\/\/lospoliticosveracruz.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/Sabado-Veracruz.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"667\" height=\"625\" src=\"https:\/\/lospoliticosveracruz.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/Sabado-Veracruz.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-181985\" style=\"width:431px;height:auto\" srcset=\"https:\/\/lospoliticosveracruz.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/Sabado-Veracruz.jpg 667w, https:\/\/lospoliticosveracruz.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/Sabado-Veracruz-300x281.jpg 300w, https:\/\/lospoliticosveracruz.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/Sabado-Veracruz-448x420.jpg 448w, https:\/\/lospoliticosveracruz.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/Sabado-Veracruz-150x141.jpg 150w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 667px) 100vw, 667px\" \/><\/a><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Omar Z\u00fa\u00f1iga<\/strong><br><em>De Primera Mano<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"dropcapp1 wp-block-paragraph\">En pol\u00edtica, como en la medicina, hay diagn\u00f3sticos que se leen a simple vista y otros que obligan a esperar los resultados del laboratorio.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">En Xalapa, rumbo a 2027, conviven ambos,&nbsp;hay candidaturas que ya est\u00e1n claras para quien sepa leer los documentos internos y hay otras que, por m\u00e1s que se presuman definidas, siguen sujetas al humor de las c\u00fapulas.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">El resultado es una capital que se perfila como la plaza m\u00e1s interesante, y probablemente la m\u00e1s disputada, del mapa electoral veracruzano.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Empecemos por Morena, que en Xalapa no tiene un problema de escasez, sino de abundancia.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">La carta m\u00e1s fuerte para la diputaci\u00f3n federal por el Distrito X sigue siendo&nbsp;<strong>Delia Gonz\u00e1lez Cobos<\/strong>,&nbsp;la ex auditora superior del Orfis no es una aspirante de ocasi\u00f3n ni una figura inflada en redes sociales,&nbsp;es de acuerdo con documentos internos de ese partido, la mejor posicionada.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Y no es un dato menor,&nbsp;San L\u00e1zaro est\u00e1 urgido de perfiles t\u00e9cnicos, de gente que sepa leer una cuenta p\u00fablica, que entienda de fiscalizaci\u00f3n y que haya pagado el costo de incomodar a m\u00e1s de uno desde la trinchera de la revisi\u00f3n del gasto.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Un perfil como el suyo hace falta en la C\u00e1mara de Diputados, donde abundan los aplaudidores y escasean quienes saben de qu\u00e9 se trata la rendici\u00f3n de cuentas.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">*****<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Pero en Morena nada es tan sencillo,&nbsp;<strong>Eduardo \u00abTato\u00bb Vega<\/strong>, exsubsecretario de la Sedecop, que inicialmente buscaba el distrito local de Xalapa rural, tambi\u00e9n fue enviado a competir por ese mismo distrito federal.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Lo cierto es que&nbsp;<strong>Tato<\/strong>, por g\u00e9nero&nbsp;es el hombre mejor posicionado en la baraja guinda, y eso le da derecho a hacerse escuchar, la pregunta es si ese env\u00edo al federal es una apuesta real o una manera de medir fuerzas, de tensar la cuerda para negociar despu\u00e9s.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">No hay m\u00e1s, si las cosas se respetan, y en Morena esa condici\u00f3n nunca sobra,&nbsp;<strong>Delia Gonz\u00e1lez Cobos<\/strong>ser\u00e1 la candidata a la diputaci\u00f3n federal y&nbsp;<strong>Tato Vega<\/strong>ir\u00e1 por el distrito local, donde tiene amplias posibilidades de ganar.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Es la f\u00f3rmula l\u00f3gica,&nbsp;cada quien en el espacio donde suma m\u00e1s, cualquier otra combinaci\u00f3n ser\u00eda forzar las piezas y abrir una herida innecesaria en un partido que, en Xalapa, no puede darse el lujo de regalar ventajas, menos con una oposici\u00f3n que empieza a reacomodarse.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">*****<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Y hablando de reacomodos, el Partido Verde ya tiene su apuesta en la capital,&nbsp;<strong>Am\u00e9rico Z\u00fa\u00f1iga Mart\u00ednez<\/strong>&nbsp;ser\u00e1 candidato del PVEM al Congreso local, en una elecci\u00f3n en la que muy probablemente el Verde ir\u00e1 en solitario.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">El dato clave es que Am\u00e9rico va en doble v\u00eda,&nbsp;por mayor\u00eda relativa y por la v\u00eda plurinominal,&nbsp;dicho en otras palabras, salvo un descalabro may\u00fasculo,&nbsp;<strong>Am\u00e9rico Z\u00fa\u00f1iga<\/strong>&nbsp;ser\u00e1 diputado local en 2027.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">El exalcalde conoce la ciudad, tiene estructura y no necesita presentaci\u00f3n, el Verde, que ha aprendido a&nbsp;mostrar su val\u00eda, sabe que en Xalapa tiene un activo propio y no piensa desperdiciarlo, en el inconsciente colectivo, Am\u00e9rico gan\u00f3 las \u00faltimas dos elecciones a diputado federal. Un campe\u00f3n sin corona.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">*****<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Movimiento Ciudadano por su parte, sigue llevando a&nbsp;<strong>Rom\u00e1n Moreno<\/strong>, el&nbsp;ahora&nbsp;\u00abno taquero\u00bb&nbsp;y lo m\u00e1s probable es que lo mande por el distrito federal o, en su defecto, por el distrito local que sea distinto a aquel donde compita Am\u00e9rico.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Y es que, en honor a la verdad, Rom\u00e1n no tendr\u00eda ninguna posibilidad frente a Z\u00fa\u00f1iga Mart\u00ednez,&nbsp;MC lo sabe,&nbsp;Rom\u00e1n lo sabe&nbsp;y por eso el c\u00e1lculo naranja pasa m\u00e1s por evitar el choque que por buscarlo, aunque en trat\u00e1ndose de un \u201coperador nato\u201d como&nbsp;<strong>Luis Carbonell<\/strong>, pues la moneda est\u00e1 en el aire.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Es el reflejo de un partido que en Veracruz sigue sin construir liderazgos propios capaces de pelear de t\u00fa a t\u00fa en las plazas grandes.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">*****<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Queda la inc\u00f3gnita que puede cambiarlo todo: \u00bfqui\u00e9n ser\u00e1 el abanderado de Alianza Generacional por Veracruz? El partido de&nbsp;<strong>H\u00e9ctor Yunes Landa<\/strong>naci\u00f3 con la intenci\u00f3n declarada de captar el voto descontento con Morena&nbsp;y con le gobierno, y en Xalapa ese voto existe y no es poco, por el contrario.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Mucho se habla de que su carta podr\u00eda ser&nbsp;<strong>Jos\u00e9 Antonio Nemi Dib<\/strong>, un pol\u00edtico con oficio, trayectoria legislativa y un nombre que pesa en la capital, si esa candidatura se concreta, el tablero xalape\u00f1o dejar\u00e1 de ser un tr\u00e1mite para nadie.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Porque una cosa es que Morena llegue&nbsp;punteando&nbsp;y otra muy distinta es que llegue dividida, con un Verde jugando por su cuenta&nbsp;ocn un gran candidato, un MC buscando acomodo y una Alianza Generacional dispuesta a pescar en r\u00edo revuelto con un perfil de peso, literalmente.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">As\u00ed las cosas, Xalapa ser\u00e1 sin duda una batalla de pron\u00f3stico reservado. Y en esa batalla, quien confunda la encuesta interna con el resultado final terminar\u00e1 pagando la factura en las urnas.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u00a1Qu\u00e9 barbaridad!<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">deprimera.mano2020@gmail.com<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Omar Z\u00fa\u00f1igaDe Primera Mano En pol\u00edtica, como en la medicina, hay diagn\u00f3sticos que se leen a simple vista y otros que obligan a esperar los resultados del laboratorio.&nbsp; En Xalapa, rumbo a 2027, conviven ambos,&nbsp;hay candidaturas que ya est\u00e1n claras para quien sepa leer los documentos internos y hay otras que, por m\u00e1s que se [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":141427,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"tdm_status":"","tdm_grid_status":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[70],"tags":[483,15181,348,996,23734,28705,264,40459,249,96],"class_list":["post-183227","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-de-opinion","tag-americo-zuniga","tag-delia-gonzalez-cobos","tag-hector-yunes-landa","tag-juan-antonio-nemi-dib","tag-luis-carbonell-de-la-hoz","tag-omar-zuniga","tag-pvem","tag-roman-moreno","tag-tato-vega-yunes","tag-xalapa"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v28.1 - 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